Equities

CREDIT AND SECTOR ROTATION GIVE WARNING SIGNS

Equities have somewhat continued their uptrend, although it looks more like trudging along than any real sustained strength. This is a sign of weakness. More importantly, we may be in for a bumpy ride in stocks for a while if we take a closer look at some o…

RAMPANT SPECULATION, BACK ON THE MENU?

With the new December rate cut by the US Fed, I'm starting to look at more speculative companies and industries. What's better fuel for rampant speculation than a dovish policy environment? Now, especially in the more riskier sectors and micro-caps …

SECTORS TO WATCH ONCE THE FED EASES

Back during the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in August, Powell hinted rather clearly that a rate cut was coming in the next Fed meeting. What the effect of it will be on the markets remains to be seen. However, what we can do is prepare ourselves. When t…

THE TECHNICAL CASE FOR A MARKET BOTTOM

So, big declines in the market the past few days. However, when there's this much fear? I like to put my finger on the trigger (or in this case...on the buy button, but that doesn't sound as cool). I've been comparing the current decline with the pr…

IN TIMES OF FEAR? WATCH SECTOR STRENGTH

These days, it's a big ask for a few normal weeks without some crazy headlines plaguing the front page of the news. And we're feeling it in the markets for sure. The question on everyone's mind is whether we're in a new bear mark…

THE REAL ESTATE COMEBACK

Earlier this year, I wrote a post suggesting that a rate cut might not happen anytime soon , possibly not even in 2024. However, as we approach September, it seems the Fed might not have much choice anymore. The market is now betting on a rate cut during the September meeting, an…

RATE CUTS IN 2024? THINK AGAIN.

We've been hearing about the FED's readiness to cut rates since March, keeping everyone on edge for a potential rally in small-caps, emerging markets, and more. But now, the word is that the FED might only start cutting in September and that the ECB won't follow their …

GOLD'S SILENT RISE

While attention has rightly focused on technology stocks and cryptocurrencies, gold has quietly surpassed a crucial price level that could trigger a multi-month uptrend in the precious metal's value, potentially initiating significant implications in the longer term. Ma…

READY FOR A DECLINING STOCK MARKET?

While equities have shown considerable strength in recent months, there are indicators suggesting that 2024 may not be as optimistic as one might think. I continue to maintain confidence for this year and have been bullish for the last six to seven months. However, you have to acknow…

THE DOLLAR DECLINES AND EMERGING MARKETS EMERGE

A great time in the markets for bulls in November. We wrote about it back in October , predicting that bulls might get the upper hand in the last few months of the year. Risk assets have been catching a bid all over the place, from stocks to crypto, while the vast majority have …

FRONT-RUNNING THE RISK AVERSE

Ok, the title might be a bit ambitious. though it holds some truth as we delve deeper into this post. One of the most popular and quite simple risk measures within equities is the differences in performance between large-caps and small-caps. That ratio is still heading towards t…

THE REVIVAL OF EUROPEAN BANKS

European banks have been the underdogs of the investment world for the past decade. Their lackluster performance and the turbulent financial landscape have deterred many investors from considering them as viable assets. However, recent developments and strategic changes…

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